Bills vs Rams Player Props Picks: NFL Week 5
Photo: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
Are you ready for some football? Tonight, we have a powerhouse Monday Night Showdown between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Rams.
Some games are easier to find props and plays I like, but this game took some work. When you have two top tier teams, plays are sometimes hard to find, especially ones you like to place coin on. However, I was able to find some player props I like for tonight's primetime match-up.
Without further ado, here are my Bills vs Rams player props picks.
Prop #1: Kyren WIlliams 4+ Receptions (+140 FanDuel)
There's no question that Kyren Williams has become more the the Rams "go to" weapon the past two weeks. He's seen a small uptick in rushing attempts in Weeks 3 and 4 compared to Weeks 1 and 2. Williams has also ran for 80+ yards in three straight games heading into tonight.
However, it's not the run game to focus on with Kyren Williams. It's the pass game.
After the first two weeks of the season, Kyren Williams had only five receptions. He ballooned to sixteen receptions over the past two weeks! He caught six passes against the Broncos and ten passes against the Eagles.
I expect the Rams to continue looking his way in general. Stafford targeted him seven times against the Broncos and thirteen times against the Eagles. In a game that could look very much like the Thursday night game between the Bills and the Lions, I expect both team's offenses to put up points and yards. By the way, Jahmyr Gibbs was targeted eight times in that Thursday night game and had six receptions.
4+ Receptions at plus money is the main play. Would hate a small ladder up to 6+ receptions.
Prop #2: Josh Allen 1+ Interception Thrown (-114 FanDuel)
I know...I know. I just said "I expect both team's offenses to put up points and yards," but that doesn't mean there won't be zero mistakes made by the offenses tonight.
Josh Allen has without a doubt been putting in hat in the ring for MVP this season. Seven rushing touchdowns through the first four games and two rushing touchdowns in each of the first three games.
However, he's looked a little mortal in the pass game over the past two weeks, especially in terms of this player prop. He's thrown at least an interception in each of his last two games and even threw two interceptions against the Chargers in Week 3.
The Rams secondary has picked off the opposing quarterback in three of their four games this season, and the only quarterback to not throw one against the Rams was Jalen Hurts. If we are all being honest, that's because Jalen Hurts and the Eagles are too scared to throw the ball deep down the field.
Long Shot Prop: Puka Nacua 2+ Touchdowns (+500 FanDuel)
The main reason why I didn't write up a Touchdown props for this game is because the odds for a single touchdown for the top guys are too low. Kyren Williams ATD at -160? No thanks. Josh Allen or Puka Nacua ATDs at -120? Double no thanks.
However, I think I found some value on a long shot prop here for my touchdown prop fans.
Puka Nacua is the top target and receiving option for Matthew Stafford. He's played in only two of the Rams' four games, but the numbers between him and Davante Adams in terms of targets are staggering.
Nacua has nine and twelve targets respectively in the two games he's played this season. In those two games, Adams has six and nine targets respectively, compared to ten and thirteen without Nacua.
I lean on Puka to get more targets and more chances at touchdowns tonight. Plus, the Bills have already had two wide receivers notch two touchdowns in a game against them (Romeo Dobbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown).
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